Tell City
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #126
Mater Dei Regional Rank #26
Jasper Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 25th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 89.5%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Patriot Invitational
Date 8/31 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 1,107 1,154 1,081 1,143
Team Adjusted Rating 1,154 1,081 1,143
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Patriot Invitational
472  Nate Hollinden 9 17:44 17:39 17:35 18:01
605  Alden Marion 12 18:02 17:09 18:24 17:31 18:37
1,043  Dewayne Rapier 10 18:43 18:07 19:12 18:39 18:41
Kasyn Ingle 9 19:43 19:38 19:50 19:37
Ty Chestnut 9 19:43 19:42 20:01 19:25
Jaidin Hicks 10 20:23 20:26 20:12 20:26
Dayne McManaway 9 20:39 20:50 20:14 20:45
Brody Ford 9 20:41 19:37 21:15 20:45
Evan Hagedorn 12 20:50 20:00 20:47 21:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 89.5% 23.3 585 0.0 0.1 1.7 9.5 15.3 19.5 21.5
Sectionals 100% 4.8 127 0.0 28.3 61.1 10.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Hollinden 100% 81.8 100.0% 100.0%
Alden Marion 100% 100.5 100.0% 100.0%
Dewayne Rapier 100% 154.7 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Hollinden 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 4.5 8.0 13.0 17.9 17.3 15.3 9.9 6.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Alden Marion 14.4 0.2 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.7 8.9 12.4 15.0 14.5 12.8 10.1 6.9 3.9 3.0 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
Dewayne Rapier 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.4 3.8 5.7 9.0 11.6 14.3